Background
In the last few years, India has attempted to put in place
policies and mechanisms to take advantage of her apparent demographic dividend,
in recognition of the importance of skilling her young people before they reach
the job market. The World Youth Skills Day (July 15th) provides an
opportunity to reflect on our current situation and the additional steps we
need to take in order to achieve our goals.
The numbers are well known, but bear repetition – India’s strength over the next couple of decades is expected to lie in her demographic dividend, i.e., the 65% of her population that is under the age of 35, who are or will be the next productive generation. Each month, just over a million young people join the workforce, yet only a minuscule number are formally trained. These young people can potentially fill a requirement for skilled personnel not only in India, but also in other countries across the world that will be dealing with ageing populations during this period.
The numbers are well known, but bear repetition – India’s strength over the next couple of decades is expected to lie in her demographic dividend, i.e., the 65% of her population that is under the age of 35, who are or will be the next productive generation. Each month, just over a million young people join the workforce, yet only a minuscule number are formally trained. These young people can potentially fill a requirement for skilled personnel not only in India, but also in other countries across the world that will be dealing with ageing populations during this period.
But this significant demographic dividend brings challenges
and opportunities in equal measure; any failure to address its obligations now
will have significant consequences in the future, including some that may have
an impact on our very social fabric. Signs of this impact are already visible
in daily newspaper headlines, which describe a sharp increase in petty and
serious crimes, all too often perpetrated by poorly educated and unemployed
youth. An interesting analysis on this situation
by my friend Amitabh
Pandey can be found here.
Policy Interventions
On the policy side, the national skill development policy
was revised in 2015 in the form of the National
Policy on Skill Development and Entrepreneurship 2015. A National Skill
Qualification Framework separately prescribes competencies required at
various levels of skill in the form of knowledge, skills and aptitude.
However, the supply side of training and skill delivery needs to be accompanied
by expanding opportunities available to youth on the demand side; this implies
bringing about an investment climate that encourages the creation of
jobs. FDI norms have recently been eased in 15 sectors, which have the
potential to generate some 4 million additional job opportunities, yet much
more needs to be done. The 2016-2017 Budget had also proposed steps to
supplement the Make in India initiative, reinforcing the need to build capacities
of Indian youth, yet one of the contradictions with which policy makers
continue to grapple is the fact that while on the one hand there is
unemployment, on the other, industries deal with large scale vacancies. Clearly
this mismatch between employment seekers and employers is one that needs to be
addressed on priority; the question to ask if we're seeing enough action on the
ground.
Role of Industry
This process cannot be left to government alone – industry
too needs to step up its engagement and accept responsibility as part of its
national and social obligations. There is also a need for stronger
industry-academia interaction; we need to see high quality industry engagement
with the actual process of skill development. Creation of industry cells
at ITIs and polytechnics to enable exposure to current methodologies and
processes is one possible form of engagement. In today’s world,
technology changes rapidly, making it difficult for technical institutes to
keep up. This is where industry can step in to complete the learning
process and to help training institutes to stay abreast of current
developments. The example of the German dual system is often cited,
precisely because it involves such a strong relationship between industry and
training, with trainees completing part of their course on the job in their
chosen fields.
Situation on the Ground
In a recent study that was carried out on behalf of CII
Northern Region, it was found that young people are in general, quite willing
to pay in order to acquire skills and skill certification, believing that such
certification can lead to better opportunities; this willingness does not
however, find immediate reflection among employers, who are not ready to pay a
premium for skill training. This contradiction arises partly from the
fact that employers are not fully comfortable with or sure of the reliability
and integrity of the assessment and certification processes, which underlines
the need to strengthen these systems so that we have in place robust and dependable
mechanisms for assessing and certifying the skill levels of employment
seekers. Nothing illustrates the criticality of such mechanisms better
than the recent scandal
involving exam toppers of the Bihar examination board. However, the
importance of industry recognising skill certification through a wage premium
in order to encourage the acquisition of skills cannot be emphasised strongly
enough – failure to do so could become one of the most important causes of our eventual
failure in this area.
In order to achieve sustainable progress in vocational
training and skill-intensive education, these will also need to be seen not as
parallel options, but as supplementary streams to mainstream education.
This requires closer integration with the school system, something that the
CBSE has recently started with its vocational education courses in grades
9-12. What we need to see also is greater awareness generation about
these options at the school level, not just among students but also among
teachers and educational administrators. Skilling cannot be an ad hoc
activity; it needs structure and clear targets in order to take up the massive
task of skilling 400 million people. Holistic planning that involves all
stakeholders thus becomes essential to bridge the demand and supply gap of the
workforce.
Conclusion
The state of education in India is well known; systematic
neglect over the years, prioritising certain forms of higher education over
school education and general literacy, and overall mismanagement have led to a
situation where more than half the children in grade 5 cannot read a grade 2
text. We need to be certain we do not
repeat this experience in the skill development sector. Poor learning levels in school, combined with
often questionable skilling courses and a reluctance to pay wage premium are a
recipe for disaster. We have only the next 2-3 years to get the formula
right; if we don't, we're staring at a guaranteed demographic meltdown instead.